ROSECAST PERFORMANCE OF GLORY DAYS (BEAR DAYS)
"GLORY DAYS" are days on which the stock
market closes down more than 1%. By forecasting these days a market timer can
achieve "GLORY". GLORY DAYS are very rare, even during periods of great
financial crises like 1929, 1987 or 2008. During a strong bull run, GLORY DAYS
are the only possibilty to take advantage of falling prices as corrections will
only last 1, 2 or 3 days in a month and not longer. We know that the stars have
to be aligned in an extraordinary way in order for a "GLORY DAY" to occur.
Through our unique discoveries into the science of planetary alignments
(planetary geometry) we are able to forecast such days, long before they occur.
Learn about our performance below and also make sure to read our BLOG at the
very end of this page.
Important
Disclaimer: Please be aware that past forecasting performance is not
necessarily indicative of future forecasting accuracy and that there is risk of
loss in trading, investing and speculation. If you are not a professional
investor, always contact your licensed professional financial advisor before
engaging in any kind of trading. Rosecast.com is
not a licensed financial advisor, but an astrology service and all GLORY DAY
forecasts discussed below are made solely on the basis of
astrology.
After CAREFUL STUDY
of PAST STOCK MOVEMENTS WE HAVE FOUND that when the
WORST DAYS in the US stock market can be AVOIDED, a much better overall
performance will result in both very BULLISH and BEARISH months.
Days under parenthesis are not added to the performace summary below, also
please read our BLOG concerning these forecasts.
GD Forecasting performance of May 2010: +92 S&P 500 Index Points
GD Forecasting performance of June 2010:
+44 S&P 500 Index Points
GD Forecasting performance of July 2010:
+ 13 S&P 500 Index Points
GD Forecasting performance of August 2010:
+35 S&P 500 Index Points
GD Forecasting performance of September 2010: 0
GD Forecasting performance of October 2010:
- 6 S&P 500 Index Points
GD Forecasting performance of November 2010:
+ 18 S&P 500 Index Points
Total Performance for 7 months: +196 S&P 500 Index Points
|
GLORY DAY |
S&P CASH CLOSE |
UP/DOWN |
GAIN/LOSS |
GLORY DAY |
| May 4, 2010 | 1173 |
|
-29 | +29 |
| May 6, 2010 | 1128 |
|
-37 | +37 |
| May 10, 2010 | 1159 |
|
+49 | -18 (1.2% STOP LOSS) |
| (May 14, 2010) | 1135 |
|
-22 | (+22) |
| (May 17, 2010) | 1136 (low 1114) |
|
+1 (-21) | (-1) (21) |
| (May 18, 2010) | 1120 |
|
-16 | (+16) |
| May 20, 2010 | 1071 |
|
-44 | +44 |
| June 1, 2010 | 1070 |
|
-19 | +19 |
| June 2, 2010 | 1098 |
|
+28 | -13 (1.2% STOP LOSS) |
| (June 4, 2010) | 1060 |
|
-42 | (+42) |
| June 16, 2010 | 1114 (low 1007) |
|
-1 (-8) | +1 (+8) |
| June 23, 2010 | 1092 (low 1085) |
|
-3 (-10) | +3 (+10) |
| June 29, 2010 | 1041 |
|
-34 | +34 |
| July 29, 2010 | 1001 (low 1093) |
|
-5 (-13) | +5 (+13)* |
| August 9, 2010 | 1127 |
|
+6 | -6 |
| August 11, 2010 | 1089 |
|
-32 | +32 |
| August 13, 2010 | 1079 |
|
-4 | +4 |
| August 16, 2010 | 1079 (low 1069) |
|
-0 (-10) | +5 |
| (August 19, 2010) | 1075 |
|
(-19) | (+19) |
| September 2, 2010 | 1090 |
|
+10 | -10 |
| September 14, 2010 | 1121 |
|
-1 | +1 |
| September 16, 2010 | 1124 |
|
-1 | +1 |
| September 21, 2010 | 1139 |
|
-3 | +3 |
| September 22, 2010 | 1134 |
|
-5 | +5 |
| (September 29, 2010) | 1144 |
|
(-3) | (+3) |
| October 22, 2010 | 1183 |
|
+3 | -3 |
| October 25, 2010 | 1185 |
|
+2 | -3 |
| October 28, 2010 | 1183 |
|
+1 | -3 |
| October 29, 2010 | 1183 |
|
-0 | +0 |
| November 9, 2010 | 1213 |
|
-10 | +10 |
| November 15, 2010 | 1197 |
|
-2 | +2 |
| November 19, 2010 | 1199 |
|
+3 | -3 |
| November 22, 2010 | 1197 |
|
-2 (-15)* | +2 (+15)* |
| November 30, 2010 | 1180 |
|
-7 | +7 |
GLORY DAY FORECASTS "BLOG"
May 4, 6, 14 and May 20 were forecasted as GLORY DAYS on May 3, when the
concept of GLORY DAYS has been introduced to Rosecast subsribers for the first
time. We have made a new discovery during the end of April that lead us to the
announcement of our GLORY DAY forecasts.
On the close of May 4, May 6 was reaffirmed as a Glory Day of at least 20 S&P
500 points loss.
Intraday-day traders should note that we have found the astrological reasons for
the 14h46 low (all Rosecast Times are cast for New York, Eastern US Time) of May
6 in the Dow Jones and our
TAP discovery
has indicated a low for 14h48, the minute the Euro and Pound have made lows
against the USD.
On the close of May 6, May 10 was forecasted as a Glory Day.
On May 10, futures have opened 18 points higher, because of the overnight
announcement of the EURO rescue package.
For all of our GLORY DAY forecasts we use a stop loss of 1.2 percent from the
Cash Index close. The May 7 cash index close of 1110 resulted (1110*0.012= 13)
in a stop loss of 13 points, so we were stopped out at the open of June Futures
on Sunday (close 1107, open 1125) with a loss of
18 points.
On May 11 we said that we are not sure about our May 14 forecast anymore and
that is why we have set this day under parenthesis.
On May 16 (- in a special evening update) we have announced that Monday (May 17)
will be a Glory Day as well, while May 18 and May 20 have already been announced
as GLORY DAYS in the May 11 update. We have put May 17 under parenthesis, since
this forecast of a GLORY DAY was not made before the CLOSE of the previous day,
but on the weekend only.
On Monday May 17 the S&P 500 has made a low at 1114 - down 21 points from the
previous close or 1.8 percent - satisfying our condition of a GLORY DAY (a 1%
drop in the S&P 500), but then a reversal has occurred (which we did not
forecast) and the Index closed at 1136.
The reversal of Monday May 18 caused us to back off from our original forecast
of a May 18 Glory Day on the morning of May 18 and we have therefore put this day
under parenthesis.
On May 19 evening we have sent out another email to reaffirm our very
negative forecast for May 20, which was already announced a GLORY DAY on May 3,
2010 and again on May 11, 2010 - well in advance. This forecast, made long before the fact, proves "the
value of science, foreknowledge and preparedness" as WD GANN has written in the
Foreword to TTTA.
The strong decline of on May 20 that came unexpected to professional traders was
one of our most GLORIOUS day- forecasts!!! Other Glorious Forecasts were for
February 4, 2010 (the biggest declining day since March 2009) and May 6, 2010 -
the day the Dow Jones has dropped 1000 points in a single day. This day was the
"FLASH DAY" crash.
June 1 has been announced a GLORY DAY in our update of May 26, 2010! And
again with a 19 points loss (19/1089=0.017) a 1.7 percent decline has been
forecasted.
June 2 has been annoucned as a GLORY DAY in our update of May 28, 2010. We have
lost 13 points on this day using our stop loss of 1.2% (1070*0.012 is 13). In
hindsight we have found the reasons why this day has closed up so strongly
against our forecast. There is a valuable lesson to be learned when comparing
the geocentric horoscopes of June 1 and June 2. Look at the "Inner Planets".
June 4 has not been announced a GLORY DAY, however in our special June 3 morning
update, we have written the following words:
"At the same time I am pretty sure that June 4 should close down. It could be
a GLORY DAY, certainly the S&P 500 should lose 10 points." We have therefore
put June 4 under parenthesis - as this day was not explicitly announced as a
GLORY DAY.
On June 7, 2010 we have changed the S&P 500 Investor Signal - tracked by
Timer Digest - to LONG. So far this has been the lowest close in the S&P 500 for
2010.
June 16 has been announced a GLORY DAY in our new WEEKLY update of June 9 and
was reaffirmed a GLORY DAY on June 14.
June 23 has been announced a GLORY DAY in our WEEKLY update of June 17.
June 29 has been first announced a GLORY DAY in our update of June 22. On
this day we have also mentioned - and that is really sensational in financial
astrology - the exact Trispect - that we thought responsible for why the
market would decline so strongly on June 29. One planet in this Trispect is
Saturn, the planet that WD Gann has called the "Master Timer". The remaining two
planets you will find in the update of June 22 and the evening update of June
28. Most financial astrologers focus on aspects with MIXED RESULTS, Rosecast
focuses on TRISPECTS, a term that we have introduced to the astrological
community already in 2006.
In our June 28 morning update we have writen that we would likely go long the
Investor Signal on June 28 and that June 29 is no longer a GLORY DAY. On June 28
we have released an evening update, once again mentioning the powerful Trispect
- and concluded that because of this Trispect and other factors, we will KEEP
our short positions until June 30, 2010. We can from past intraday-movements
often tell which Trispects are likely to become important for the market(s) in
the future. This is one of our secrets. The intraday-movement of June 28 has
confirmed to us that the Trispect we first mentioned on June 22, 2010 would be
"as bad as it gets!" to quote from our June 28 update. Therefore we decided to
keep our SHORT SIGNAL for June 29, 2010.
July 29, 2010*: In our update from July 28, we forecasted a low price of
1093 in the S&P 500 Index for the day and we have forecasted the time during the
day of when the low would occur.
If that sounds incredible to you, you will find this July 28
evening update in the Rosecast subscriber area. I have chosen not to post it
here in public, because I do not want to be accused of showing off or making
unreasonable claims.However my subscribers would not tolerate a PDF in the
subscriber area that was untruthful (posted in hindsight).
JULY: For most of July our Timer Digest signal has been long, when most of
astrologers have been short. Therefore we have only issued one Glory Day (July
29, 2010).
We have missed two Glory Days: July 16 and July 21. Note that two of my
subscribers - knowledgable in astrology- have alerted me before July 16 that
July 16 might be a Glory Day. I have mentioned their ideas in the July 15
update to other subscribers, but I myself was not convinced that this would be
enough for a Glory Day. It has turned out (July 16) that I was wrong and
Rosecast subscribers were correct. However in periods when the Rosecast signal
is long as between July 1 and day X , I try not to give too many GLORY DAY
forecasts, as I do not want to speculate against the trend.
August 19, 2010: We have put this day under parenthesis and not
counted it towards our performance, since this GLORY DAY forecast was made after
the August 18 close.
But Rosecast subscribers were still able to profit from our forecast as you can
see by viewing our Rosecast August
18 evening update.
No further GLORY DAYS in August have been
forecasted.
September 2 morning update:
I think we could have a sell-off of about 10 points from the high. 1072.25 (Cash
Index) stands out as a low level and target price.Most likely we will not see a
GLORY DAY (of course today counts as a GLORY DAY for the records - since it has
been forecasted).
September 22, 2010: We have forecasted a decline until the close of September 23 in our Rosecast September 21 Update.
September 29, 2010: We have forecasted declines for both September 29 and 30 in our Rosecast September 29 Update, but we have NOT called these days as GLORY DAYS.
October 28, 29, 2010: We have been quite bearish for the last two days in October. The fact that the market did not decline was a sign that the underlying trend has been strongly up and that a hidden bullish cycle (also notice the US Mid-elections) is supporting the market. This cycle kicked in fully during the next week, when the bearish influences of the individual days lifted.
November 22, 23, 2010: We have
forecasted a GLORY DAY for November 22. On this day the market was down 15
points before rallying in the afternoon. Already in the weekly update of
November 21 we have made the following forecast for November 23: "November 23
should see a lower opening." And in the November 18 update I wrote: " I have
some indications that we will see the low of this move that started on November
5 on November 23 at 9h40 (TZ5) in the US morning right after the opening."
On November 23 S&P at 9h40 am 500 futures have opened 15 points lower than on
the November 22 close.
(C) 2010 Markus Rose, www.rosecast.com,
Rosecast Astro Services.