PERFORMANCE OF CLASSIC UPDATES 2006
 

The page below displays how accurate the Rosecast Daily updates (released typically before 7 am ET in the morning) are forecasting the exact high and low prices prices of the trading day. The forecasted price is typically less than 1 point in the S&P E-MINI FUTURES away from the actual price. In the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (CASH) INDEX the difference between forecasted and actual prices is typically less than 10 points.

Just compare columns 4 and 6 (Rosecast forecasted prices) with columns 5 and 7 (actual prices) in the table below!

Often the first forecasted high or low price of the day is within a few ticks/points from the actual daily low and high. This can clearly not happen by chance!
I.e. on February 25, 2005 the forecasted low price for the Dow Jones Index was 10733 and the actual low was 10735!


 TABLE EXPLANATIONS

Columns 1,2,3, 5 and 7 are recorded from past data.
Columns 4 and 6 are the forecast, often the direction of the day (column 3) is indicated in the newsletter and can be anticipated from the forecast of the range (column 4). If the close is 1232 and the first forecasted high (column 4) is 1233 and the first forecasted low (column 4) is 1221 - then the direction is indicated down (i.e. on September 14, 2005 the S&P was indicated as a downday by the forecasted range, even if the high was not forecasted exactly).
If the close is 1232 and the first forecasted low is 1230 and the first forecasted high is 1242, then the direction is indicated up (i.e. September 26 Dow Jones). There will also be additional comments on the anticipated direction for the current day and the longer term forecast (moves of 30 points and more) in the updates.

The reason why I do not give an indication for the day has to do with reversal days. It is much more useful for a trader to have a forecast of an high and a low than a forecast for the direction of the day on a reversal day. Rosecast is however most of the time very clear on the indication of the trend for the upcoming day. Otherwise the forecasted levels in column 4 could not be as exact as they are (compare for example September 6, 2005 were a FIRST high at 1235.75 has been forecasted on Saturday while the market was closed at 1217.5. 1217.5 was the first forecasted low (not shown in the table), 1219.50 was the second forecasted low (only 0.25 points away from the GLOBEX low of the day) and a move of more than 17 points UP has been forecasted.

COLOR BLUE = DAILY HIGH or  UP CLOSE, HIGH
COLOR RED = DAILY LOW or DOWN CLOSE, LOW
SW = SWING PRICE LEVEL, L = Low, H = High

(1) or (1): First Forecasted Price by Rosecast. This is the most important forecasted price by Rosecast and will often hit the actual high or low price of the day within 1 point in the S&P and 10 points in the Dow.
 (2) or (2): Second Forecasted Price by Rosecast. This price is forecasted on some days as an additional indication, if planetary support and resistance cannot be defined to one price level only.
 (3) or (3):  Third Forecasted Price by Rosecast.  Rosecast forecasts up to three prices for a HIGH or a LOW. Most of the time Rosecast does not forecast a third price as two prices and often one price are sufficient. In some rare cases a third price is forecasted. This is the least important price.
(P) or (P): new as of May 25, 2007: Pivot Level, can be either high or low
 (X) or (X): new as of May 25, 2007: Rosecast forecasts a complete Price Map of many support and resistance levels, so that traders can take advantage of these highly accurate trading levels during the day.

 

Column 1

Column 2

 Column 3

Column 4

Column 5

Column 6

Column 7

2006

S&P CASH CLOSE

UP/DOWN

Forecasted Daily
S&P E-MINI

  Actual Daily 
S&P E-MINI

Forecasted
Daily  DOW

Actual Daily DOW

Jul 31 1276.6 1279.00 (1)
1284.00 (2)

1279.00
1284.25

 11178
11219
Jul 28 1278.6

1286.00
1273.00

 11243
11102
Jul 27 1263.2 1267.50 (2)
1280.00 (2)

1266.75
1281.75

 11087
11187
Jul 26 1268.4 1278.75 (2)
1268.50 (2)

1279.75
1266.75

11163 (1) 
11068 (1) 

11157
11048
Jul 25 1268.9 1261.50 (1)

1278.75
1262.50

10995 (1) 

11133
10999
Jul 24 1260.9 1248.75 (3)

1269.00
1249.50

11055 (1) 

11065
10868
Jul 21 1240.3

1243.50
1257.75

 10838
10951
Jul 20 1249.1 1269.00 (2)

1252.50
1269.00

11047 (1)

 10924
11037
Jul 19 1259.8

1269.00
1247.25

10775 (1) 

11038
10797
Jul 18 1236.9 1244.50 (1)
1235.00 (1)

1246.75
1231.00

10645 (1) 

10813
10683
Jul 17 1234.5  1249.00 (2)

1238.00
1247.50

10714
10802

Jul 14 1236.2

1235.00
1249.75

 10701
10848
Jul 13 1242.3 1263.25 (2)

1246.75
1264.00

11001 (1) 

10832
11012
Jul 12 1258.6 1283.50 (2)

1264.50
1281.50

 10995
11149
Jul 11 1272.5 1267.00 (2)

1282.50
1267.50

 11151
11027
Jul 10 1267.3

1282.75
1272.50

 11174
11090
Jul 7 1265.5 1285.50 (1)

1271.00
1284.25

11255 (1) 

11066
11224
Jul 6 1274.1

1287.50
1279.50

 11257
11147
Jul 5 1270.9 1273.50 (1)

1274.00
1283.50

11143 (1) 
11237 (1) 

11123
11225
Jul 3 1280.2 1289.00 (1)

1289.75
1282.75

11215 (1) 
11133 (1) 

11231
11149
Jun 30 1270.2 1285.50 (1)

1279.50
1286.25

 11150
11235
Jun 29 1272.9

1283.75
1261.25

 11195
10974
Jun 28 1246.0 1258.00 (2)
1249.00 (2)

1258.00
1246.50

10987 (1)
10919 (1)

 10981
10902
Jun 27 1239.2 1263.00 (2)
1264.50 (1)

1248.00
1263.25

11078 (1)

 10920
11064
Jun 26 1250.6 1260.00 (2)
1253.50 (2)

1261.25
1253.25

11048
10973
Jun 23 1244.5 1251.00 (2)
1265.25 (1)

1251.00
1264.00

11067 (1)

10973
11074
Jun 22 1245.6 1250.75 (1)

1251.00
1261.25

10986
11077
Jun 21 1252.2 1249.50 (2)

1268.50
1250.50

11131
10971
Jun 20 1240.1

1249.00
1260.00

11018 (2)

10938
11029
Jun 19 1240.1 1267.75 (1)

1247.20
1267.00

10907
11057
Jun 16 1251.5
 

1256.50
1267.50

10966 (1)
11054 (1)

10984
11045
Jun 15 1258.6

1270.75
1244.50

11036
10817
Jun 14 1230.0 1243.25 (3), 1240.00 (1)
 1229.00 (3), 1219.00 (1)

1242.75
1229.50

10817
10698
Jun 13 1223.7 1255.00 (1)

1232.00
1255.25

10838 (1)

10700
10862
Jun 12 1236.4 1268.75 (1)

1245.50
1266.75
September starts

10790
10927
Jun 9 1252.3

1260.50
1274.25

10875 (1)
11000 (1)

10871
10976
Jun 8 1257.9 1270.00 (1)
1245.75 (1)

1272.00
1245.75

10944 (1)

10964
10757
Jun 7 1256.2 1273.75 (2)

1254.25
1273.75

11057 (1)

10928
11077
Jun 6 1263.9 1273.75 (1)

1255.25
1271.75

11102 (2)

10926
11094
Jun 5 1265.3 1286.75 (1)

1265.75
1286.75

11249 (1)

11040
11248
Jun 2 1288.2

1292.25
1281.25

11297 (1)
11185 (1)

11285
11191
Jun 1 1285.7 1280.25 (1)
1267.25 (1)

1287.75
1270.75

11172 (1)

11270
11150
May 31 1270.1 1274.00 (1)
1262.75 (1)

1273.25
1261.25

11208 (1)
11095 (1)

11183
11085
May 30 1259.9 1279.75 (2)

1259.25
1278.75

11290 (2)

11094
11278
May 26 1280.2

1283.25
1274.25

11285 (1)

11283
11211
May 25 1272.9 1264.25 (1)

1276.50
1263.25

11211 (1)

11214
11114
May 24 1258.6 1245.00 (1)

1267.00
1246.75

11038 (2)

11168
11030
May 23 1256.6

1252.00
1276.50

11197 (1)

11097
11202
May 22 1262.1 1254.50 (2)
1268.25 (1)

1255.25
1272.00

11025 (1)
11160 (1)

11040
11175
May 19 1267.0 1275.25 (2)
1260.00 (1)

1275.50
1258.25

11180
11075
May 18 1261.8 1278.50 (1)

1261.50
1278.00

11127
11247
May 17 1270.3

1268.25
1292.00

11174
11410
May 16 1292.1 1294.00 (1)

1291.75
1301.50

11392
11460
May 15 1294.5 1299.00 (1)
1289.00 (2)

1299.00
1288.00

11335 (1)

11435
11333
May 12 1291.2

1293.50
1309.25

11374
11500
May 11 1305.9

1307.25
1327.75

11479
11639
May 10 1322.9 1321.00 (1)
1330.50 (2)

1320.75
1330.00

11596 (1)
11654 (1)

11595
11670
May 9 1325.1 1331.00 (3)
 1325.50 (2)

1331.00
1326.25

11622 (3)

11640
11572
May 8 1324.7 1325.25 (1)

1326.75
1331.00

11594 (1)

11561
11603
May 5 1325.8 1322.25 (1)

1331.25
1321.75

11586
11440
May 4 1312.3 1319.25 (1)
1311.50 (1)

1320.00
1313.25

11440 (1)

11463
11401
May 3 1307.9 1308.50 (2)

1308.00
1317.00

11370 (2)

11362
11424
May 2 1313.2 1319.50 (1)
1310.75 (1)

1319.00
1311.50

11351 (2)

11427
11345
May 1 1305.2 1308.50 (2)
1321.00 (1)

1307.00
1322.50

11329
11428
Apr 28 1310.6 1324.50 (1)
1310.00 (1)

1322.00
1311.50

11417
11347
Apr 27 1309.7 1297.50 (1)

1321.00
1300.25

11416
11275
Apr 26 1305.4 1305.00 (1)

1307.75
1316.50

11282
11379
Apr 25 1301.8

1304.25
1316.50

11260
11355
Apr 24 1308.1 1315.25 (1)

1309.00
1316.25

11355 (2)

11305
11359
Apr 21 1311.3

1312.00
1324.00

11326 (1)
11414 (1)

11316
11405
Apr 20 1311.5 1312.75 (1)

1324.75
1311.75

11385 (2)

11384
11275
Apr 19 1309.9

1316.75
1308.25

11236 (1)

11302
11236
Apr 18 1307.7

1316.00
1295.50

11075 (1)

11280
11074
Apr 17 1285.3 1287.50 (1)
1299.50 (2)

1286.50
1299.25

11027 (2)
11155 (1)

11039
11159
Apr 13 1289.1 1296.50 (1)
1286.75 (1)

1299.25
1289.50

11178
11105
Apr 12 1288.1 1300.00 (1)
1292.00 (2)

1298.25
1293.00

11144
11087
Apr 11 1286.6 1307.50 (1)

1289.25
1307.75

11187 (1)

11053
11186
Apr 10 1296.6 1306.75 (1)
1300.00 (2)

1308.75
1300.25

11185
11117
Apr 7 1295.5 1321.75 (1)

1301.25
 1322.25

11240 (1)

11108
11269
Apr 6 1309.4 1321.50 (1)

1310.00
1320.50

11155 (1)
11276 (1)

11167
11246
Apr 5 1311.6 1311.00 (1)

1321.25
1312.25

11251 (1)
11155 (1)

11250
11169
Apr 4 1305.9 1313.50 (2)

1316.25
1302.25

11226
11123
Apr 3 1297.8 1302.50 (1)

1304.25
1318.00

11244 (1)

11247
11113
Mar 31 1294.8 1302.50 (1)

1302.75
1311.75

11124 (1)

11105
11191
Mar 30 1300.3 1316.00 (1)

1304.75
1319.25

11278 (1)

11117
11259
Mar 29 1302.9

1315.00
1302.25

11169 (1)

11244
11154
Mar 28 1293.2 1316.75 (1)

1300.25
1315.50

11290 (1)

11145
11281
Mar 27 1301.6 1316.75 (1)

1307.75
1314.50

11229
11280
Mar 24 1303.0

1316.25
1307.50

11316
11244
Mar 23 1301.7 1317.00 (1)

1307.00
1316.00

11316 (1)

11237
11327
Mar 22 1305.0

1316.00
1304.75

11328
11226
Mar 21 1297.2 1307.00 (1)

1305.50
 1321.50

11221
11334
Mar 20 1305.1 1321.00 (1)

1313.50
1321.00

11259
11308
Mar 17 1307.3 1319.00 (1)

1320.75
1314.75

11287 (1)

11290
11254
Mar 16 1305.3

1321.50
1311.50

11282
11210
Mar 15 1303.0 1315.00 (2)

1315.50
1305.25

11226
11138
Mar 14 1297.5 1291.25 (1)

1309.75 (June)
1292.50 (June)

11042 (1)

11161
11058
Mar 13 1284.1 1287.50 (1)
1282.50 (2)

1288.50 (March)
1282.25 (March)

11116
11056
Mar 10 1281.6 1270.50 (1)

1285.25
1270.75

10975 (1)

11098
10972
Mar 9 1272.2 1270.50 (1)
1283.00 (1)

1271.50
1283.75

10963
11049
Mar 8 1278.5 1280.50 (1)
1269.50 (2)

1281.75
1268.75

11026
10922
Mar 7 1275.9 1269.00 (1)
1279.50 (1)

1271.75
1279.50

10989 (1)

10928
10989
Mar 6 1278.3 1291.25 (1)

1276.25
1291.25

10900 (2)
11036 (1)

10929
11037
Mar 3 1287.2

1280.00
1299.00

10984
11106
Mar 2 1289.1 1283.50 (1)
1293.00 (1)

1284.25
1293.00

10990 (1)
11055 (1)

10986
11052
Mar 1 1291.2 1291.50 (2)

1293.50
1281.50

11045 (2)

11069
10991
Feb 28 1280.7 1281.00 (1)
1295.00 (1)

1280.00
1295.00

11000 (1)
11120 (1)

10978
11100
Feb 27 1294.1 1299.00 (2)

1299.75
1292.00

11132
11061
Feb 24 1289.4 1293.50 (1)

1294.25
1287.00

11100 (1)
11025 (1)

11085
11010
Feb 23 1287.8 1293.50 (1)

1286.50
1296.00

11015 (1)
11135 (1)

11052
11135
Feb 22 1292.7 1282.50 (2)

1296.25
1283.75

11159
11060
Feb 21 1283.0 1293.50 (2)

1283.00
1294.25

11050
11140
Feb 17 1287.2 1292.50 (1)

1286.00
1292.25

11128 (1)

11077
11131
Feb 16 1289.4 1281.50 (1)

1292.75
1281.00

11120
11046
Feb 15 1280.0 1273.50 (1)

1283.75
1272.75

11068
10989
Feb 14 1275.5 1264.00 (1)

1281.50
1263.00

10895 (1)

11047
10890
Feb 13 1262.9 1261.00 (2)
1269.50 (1)

1260.50
1269.25

10860 (2)
10950 (1)

10849
10939
Feb 10 1267.0

1273.00
1257.00

10930 (1)
 10850 (1)*

10944
10820
Feb 9 1263.8 1265.50 (2)
1277.00 (2)

1265.25
1277.75

10855 (2)

10952
10855
Feb 8 1265.7 1255.75 (1)

1269.75
1255.75

10840 (1)
10745 (1)

10865
10740
Feb 7 1254.8 1258.00 (2)
1270.00 (1)

1256.00
1270.00

10745 (1)
10817 (1)

10737
10822
Feb 6 1265.0 1272.25 (1)
1265.00 (1)

1270.50
1264.00

10814
10770
Feb 3 1264.0 1265.00 (2)
1276.00 (2)

1263.50
1276.50

10750 (1)
10870 (1)

10779
10863
Feb 2 1270.8 1276.50 (1)
1287.00 (1)

1270.50
1287.25

10860 (1)
10958 (1)

10827
10950
Feb 1 1282.5 1287.00 (2)
1277.00 (1)

1287.50
1276.25

10855 (1)

10967
10852
Jan 31 1280.1 1290.50 (1)

1278.50
1290.50

10864 (1)
10921 (1)

10862
10923
Jan 30 1285.2 1292.50 (1)

1291.75
1286.75

10930 (1)
10858 (1)

10930
10887
Jan 27 1283.7
1277.00 (1)

1290.50
1277.25

10932
10804
Jan 26 1273.8 1279.00 (2)
1270.00 (2)

1280.75
1269.75

10805 (1)
10722 (1)

10827
10710
Jan 25 1264.7 1264.00 (2)
1277.50 (2)

1262.25
1276.00

10761 (1)

10672
10760
Jan 24

1266.9

 1276.50 (1)
1267.00 (1)

1276.25
1267.25

10755 (1)
10677 (1)

10750
10686
Jan 23

1263.8

 1273.50 (1)
1263.75 (1)

1272.75
1263.75

10765 (1)
10665 (1)

10737
10666
Jan 20

1261.5

1264.25
1289.25

10661
10880
Jan 19

1285.0

 1293.75 (2)
1280.25 (2)

1293.00
1280.25

10915 (1)

10916
10852
Jan 18

1277.9

1275.25
1287.75

10817
10890
Jan 17

1282.9

 1285.00 (2)
 

1283.50
1295.25

10888 (1)
10957 (1)

10875
10957
Jan 13

1287.6
1295.00 (1)

1287.75
1295.75

10933 (1)
11000 (1)

10921
10992
Jan 12

1286.1

 1288.00 (2)
1299.75 (1)

1290.50
1299.75

10971 (1)
11045 (1)

10951
11045
Jan 11

1294.2

 1304.50 (1)
1295.00 (1)

1301.00
1293.50

11051 (2)
11000 (1)

11047
10992
Jan 10

1289.7

 1294.50 (1)

1289.25
1296.75

10910 (1)
11000 (1)

10949
11014
Jan 9

1290.2

 1295.00 (2)

1297.50
1290.25

11020
10944
Jan 6

1285.4

 1289.50 (1)
1276.00 (1)

1293.00
1280.25

10955 (1)
10870 (1)

10968
10875
Jan 5

1273.5

 1284.00 (1)
1277.00 (1)

1283.25
1275.75

10905 (1)
10825 (1)

10908
10844
Jan 4

1273.5

 1268.50 (1)

1282.25
1270.75

10880 (1)

10892
10833
Jan 3, 2006

1268.8

 1255.00 (1)

1277.50
1251.50


10725 (1)

10862
10684

*On February 10, 2006 a low at 10h45 ET has been forecasted before the opening and an intraday update emailed at 10h58 ET has confirmed that the low is likely in at 10821. A target of 10980 has been projected (all updates are archived online).


SP: S&P E-Minis, common symbols: EPH6, ESH6 (http://www.cme.com). TRADING HOURS: 16h30 (18h00) -16h15 EST

DOW: Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, common symbols: DJI, $INDU (http://www.dowjones.com). TRADING HOURS: 09h30-16h00 EST


(C) 2006, www.rosecast.com