
FORECASTs
BY ROSECASTs
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Below the original comment is written in BLUE,
additions added later are written in BLACK. Only the Rosecast Classic service forecasts prices
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All updates are released well before 9h30 am New York time of the respective day mentioned. A typical update is released before 7h00 am.
In any event I recommend to exit short positions before the close as Monday is likely a very good day. I shall shift the Investor Signal to Long on Friday’s close.
Rosecast May 8, 2009, Friday
I consider it very likely that the market will trade down on Monday, May 11.
My price target is 885, if the market is very bearish it could become 873.
Rosecast March 23, 2009, Monday
On the big picture I am expecting now a swing low on March 30.
Rosecast March 19, 2009, Thursday
I have changed the S&P 500 signal to short for two reasons (close of March 18).
1)...
2) Second the market has reached exactly my target of 802.50 (SPX high was 803 today) that I have first specified on the morning of March 13, when the market was trading at 750.
Therefore the market has hit in price a rare alignment of planets in the sky.
Rosecast March 13, 2009, Wednesday
I think that we are going to rally
until March 19. A potential target is 802.50 in the SPX and the E-mini futures.
I will likely shift the Investor Signal to short on the close of either March 19
or March 20. I am then expecting one more leg to the downside before the
“July-rally” I have already mentioned will start.
Rosecast
March 11, 2009, Wednesday
Many things I want to communicate today. First March 9 is a potential longer term bottom. On the overall picture I am expecting a low in March and a high in the first half of July 2009. ......
Again coming back to 2009, I think that the upcoming months until July 2009 will be very positive and we could see some breakthroughs in medicine and maybe the discovery of a cure for some life-threatening illness like AIDS or Cancer. I also think that some stocks in the biochemistry sector should see good advances. I will get to specific stock sectors that are strong in another update.
Rosecast March 10, 2009, Tuesday
On the
big picture I believe that March 9 could stay a swing low until a swing high on
the close of March 11 or March 13.
Rosecast
March 6, 2009, Friday
This weekend there is a station of Venus that is a rather rare event. It means to me that it is unlikely that we will close up or down three days in a row (Friday, Monday and Tuesday) as Venus signifies a change of trend. If today closes down, there is good chance of an up-close for Monday. I see the morning rather bearish for Monday and the afternoon quite bullish.
Rosecast February 27, 2009, Friday
My ideal scenario is that the
market will rise today after a low at 13h00. Monday is then a very special wide
ranging day. If today would end down, contra to my expectation, then Monday
could become quite dangerous (for the bulls – a record day down).
Friday ended down and Monday, March 2
ended down strongly.
Rosecast February 24, 2009, Tuesday
After yesterday’s decline I see a very high chance for the market rising today and tomorrow. In an earlier update (about two weeks ago) I have given February 23 as a low. The problem is that February 23 is not as good a long term low as February 19. And since February 19 has failed, I am now looking for another long-term low, down the road.
Rosecast February 12, 2009, Thursday
I am going to stay short with the Stock Investor Signal until February 20. My indication is that this will be the most significant turn.
Rosecast
February 9, 2009, Monday
On February 6 the SPX has
closed at 868.6 and has touched an important trend-line that connects May 19
2008, June 5 2008 and January 6 highs and has touched its 50 day-MA. When using
the Rosecast Bradley software I get a very strong turn for February 8 (this
weekend) using the original model enhanced by Chiron, Ceres and the in conjunct
aspects (30 and 150 degrees).
All this is suggesting that the market is facing very strong resistance here. I
have forecasted a down-day on Friday for today and indeed there are those
factors present that I have researched as a precondition for large down-days.
Tomorrow February 10 and February 16 in particular are days that also have a
strong probability of closing down by more than 2 percent.
Rosecast January 28, 2009, Wednesday
Tomorrow (January 29) seems to me as a bearish day, indeed I have many indications for this. On the big picture I would l like to postpone my comments, but it seems now that we could hit another strong S&P low on February 11, 2009 (Feb 12 intraday) before the forecasted bear-market rally starts.
Rosecast
January 15, 2009, Thursday
With yesterday ending down it is clear that the Rosecast Bradley turn date of
January 6 to 12 can only be classified as a high. I would now also concede that
the regular Bradley date of December 16 was likely a high. Since both dates are
very important Bradley turn dates, one would expect a move of 10%. But with the
recent extreme volatility I would certainly expect a move of 20% in order to
make the Bradley indication stand out. If the market moved down 20% from the
Rosecast Bradley date of January 6, I would conclude that that this particular
Bradley indication has “worked”. Given a closing price of 934.70 on January 6, I
get a 20% target of 747.76.
Rosecast January 8, 2009, Thursday
I think that January 6 will stay the high for some time. I see now the next potential swing low on January 13/14.
Rosecast January 6, 2009, Tuesday
2009 will be a very interesting year in terms of financial astrology. There are lots of crucial aspects between the important planets coming up. I think that we are in the process of making a high in the stock indices. This process will be completed by January 12. Then I see a decline until January 21-25.
Rosecast December 12, 2008, Friday
Many
analysts note the strong (multi-months) Bradley turn on December 16, 2008. This
turn is exact between December 12 and December 16. Many followers of the
Bradley indicator must go long in this period. However the Rosecast.com Bradley
indicates the BIG MULTI MONTHS BRADELY LOW to occur only on January 9, 2008. Who
will win the battle as the ultimate forecast indicator for longer term turns,
the Bradley or the Rosecast Bradley? My analysis indicates, it will be the
Rosecast Bradley.
Rosecast November 28, 2008, Friday
The important level of 888 has been reached. Therefore a consolidation is possible.
Rosecast November 24, 2008,
Monday
With the rescue of Citibank, it seems that there is again some confidence (and
liquidity) in the market. Also Gold has risen sharply on Friday after the
forecasted turn on November 19. My last signal in Gold is LONG and dates back to
October 29. I am expecting now a rising Gold price until December 26. Also the
Euro is to rise again against the US-Dollar.
For today I have two strong turns coming up at 12h03 (this is the strongest time today) and also at 13h21. A low at one of these times should represent a good buying opportunity.
Rosecast November 20, 2008,
Thursday
On the
overall picture I think that this low today (on an intraday-basis) stands the
chance to be a very important low. If so, we should see a strong rally until
November 28 or even December 1. Then we will see the next correction. I do not
know whether December 15 or today will be a lower low, but today is clearly a
buying opportunity and a big chance for a very important low.
Euro:
the Euro is at a low here, indicating a rising Euro and a declining Dollar
ahead. This normally leads to higher prices in GOLD.
Rosecast November 13, 2008,
Thursday
My indications are that today is not a very important low in the overall
picture. Therefore we should see lower lows on either November 19 (which
qualifies as an important long term swing low or short term swing high) or on
December 15 (which also qualifies as an important swing low).
The crucial day for Gold and currencies is also November 19 which makes it
really a key date.
Rosecast November 7, 2008,
Friday
November 10
is my turning point. If this day becomes a high (a rally today and on Monday),
it is better to go short on the close of November 10. If this day becomes a low (new intraday low on
Monday) it is better to go LONG until November 17.
Rosecast October 31, 2008,
Friday
Today the market will be quite volatile and we will likely close down.... My potential target for a November 5 high
is 1011 in the S&P 500 Index.
Rosecast October 20, 2008, Monday
For the future I
think we will have a high on October 21 and then a sell off until the close of
Friday, October 24.
From Monday, October 27 (this day is likely to be UP strongly) we will rally
until November 4,
but after a small high on October 29, October 30 will be down strongly.
Rosecast October 15, 2008, Wednesday
.....Overall it looks to me that we will not see a significant low before
November 19. Only then should one consider buying stocks for a few months.
Rosecast October 13, 2008,
Monday
...and overall I strongly
believe that this crisis is far from over. I see the stock market to make an
important low on November 19, after a high around the US elections (high for
November 5/6). Only after November 19, if the market makes a precise low on this
day, can I imagine a rally until January or February of 2009.
However at this moment I
think that the lows from November 19 will be lower than the current lows. Of
course all depends on how high the market can rally until November 5.
Rosecast October 8, 2008,
Wednesday
...This
Trispect is the main reason why I think that God could give us a sign that the
worst of the current crisis will peak today. Of course there are also some other
reasons or signs.
Most likely the market will close up on October 9, but for October 10 the market
looks weak again as the Sun will be in parallel aspect to Saturn (planet of
crisis). Therefore one could also argue for an important low on October 10.
The good news is
that October 13 looks like a strong day up. Therefore October 10 is the
alternative day to go long this market.
Rosecast September
25, 2008,
Thursday
Yesterday the market has closed down again. I consider it now very likely that
my forecasted tuning point of September 24 has inverted to a low.
I therefore forecast rising prices for today and Friday.
However,
on Monday at the latest this potential rally should end and then the market is
likely to decline again into an October 3 or October 8 low.
Rosecast September 22, 2008,
Monday
On Friday the SPX has closed at 1255. At this moment futures are trading at 1243
after hitting an early morning low at 1223.50. I have some indication that today
might close better than the weak morning. Yet there is currently big uncertainty
also in my analysis and I have been thinking about going NEURTAL with the Timer
Digest signal for the first time this year.
My analysis indicates a high on September 24, yet it might be that the market
closes already down prior to that date similar to the market at the swing high
of September 3 that I forecasted here.
Also my analysis gives a clear low on October 7
and/or 8.
Rosecast September 19, 2008,
Friday
...On the big picture I am glad that Rosecast went long on the 15th,
even if the 17th would have been a better day. But the 17th
did not give us the long term potential of the move in our data, and therefore
we have acted right from the standpoint of our current knowledge. I should
however have seen that the 17th would end down, since the bullish
Venus-Neptune aspect I have been focusing on, was already exact before the
opening of that day. After the opening the markets fell apart. On the positive
side the biggest move on that day occurred after 15h12 and that move has been
exactly forecasted here.
Rosecast September 16, 2008,
Tuesday
...Astrologically we are seeing yesterday and today a pretest of what might loom
for us in the year 2010, and that is a widespread crisis of the financial
system. The astrological culprits of this potential thread to the financial
system as we know it are Pluto (planet of debt and banks), Uranus (planet of
sudden change and disruption) and Saturn (planet of depression and crisis).
These planets are forming an unfavorable T-square in the year 2010 and since
Pluto is in aspect to Saturn today we get already a preview of what might be in
store for us (widespread failures of financial institutions) in the year 2010...
Rosecast September 15, 2008,
Monday
...Then a lot of bad news has been developing over the
weekend. There was the news that a buyer for bankrupt investment bank “Lehman
Brothers” has not been found yet and that Hurricane Ike is damaging Texas which
is bad news for the insurance sector. My long term data has suggested a low
should occur this weekend and therefore the bad news is not really surprising.
Rosecast September 4, 2008, Thursday
Since key economy-related sectors are at their highs and with the Dow Jones
closing up yesterday (the S&P 500 has closed down by 2 points), I see my
condition for a swing high fulfilled...Overall I am quite certain that we will
eventually trade below 1260. The market will make a low on September 11, despite
what is happening right now.
Rosecast August 29, 2008, Friday
Yesterday the S&P 500 has closed up by 19 points to finish the session at
1300.7. As of this morning futures are trading at 1294, down 6 points from
yesterdays high at 1300. I see it likely that the market trades down today.
Rosecast August 28, 2008, Thursday
I have some turn indications from today to Friday and thus Friday is likely to
close in the opposite direction than today. On Monday, September 1, the US
markets will be closed for Labor Day, so no update will be released. For Tuesday
and Wednesday I expect a (strongly) rising market. However my work also shows
that Wednesday, September 3 will be another swing high. It should be a lower
swing high than August 11, but September 3 will likely close up, and September 4
and 5 will likely close down. The best day for an important swing low will be
Friday, September 12.
Rosecast August 21, 2008, Thursday
All I can say is that at this moment, one must assume that there is further
potential to the downside. A low on August 25/26 will likely result in a strong
rally.
Rosecast August 18, 2008, Monday
My longer term data indicates that an important swing high has been seen on
Friday. Therefore I expect declining prices for most of next week. When I look
at the individual factors for Monday, the negative factors dominate. There is
one positive factor that could turn things to the positive and this factor could
prevent the market from falling strongly. An important high level for my bearish
scenario for tomorrow is 1303.25. This level should not be surpassed for the
bearish scenario and it is my very best shorting level. To the downside I see
some support at 1291 and at 1286. Below these levels 1279.5 and 1269.5 become
the next targets, 1286 is the most important attractor. An attractor is a
planetary vibration that attracts price like a magnet, 1286 and 1279.5 are
bearish attractors, 1303 is a bullish attractor.
Rosecast August 12, 2008, Tuesday
Rosecast is short (TIMER DIGEST SIGNAL) as of
the August 11 close or a level of 1305.3 in the S&P 500 Cash Index. On July 15,
the day of our last BUY signal the S&P 500 has closed at 1214.9, therefore this
amounts to a difference of 90 S&P points. The half of 90 is 45 and this gives
the next support level at 1260. But 1260 is also one of the 4 divisions of the
circle making this support and target level even stronger.
Rosecast August 11, 2008, Monday
Some astrologers have predicted a crash in the week of the start of the Olympic
Games. I am glad that we had such a wonderful opening ceremony of the Olympic
games (in astrology, if you find a good date to start something, then this good
start date will have a positive impact on the whole event, therefore it is also
advised to marry on a good astrological day, this branch of astrology is called
“Electional Astrology”) and that the stock market has acted in accordance with
these positive vibrations – it has made new highs on August 8, just as I have
predicted it all along. Now however the tide is ready to turn to the negative
again. I will watch intraday data carefully for confirmation to go SHORT on
today’s close.
Rosecast August 7, 2008, Thursday
I expect
the market to make a high on either August 8 or August 11. If tomorrow does not
close up, then August 8 is likely to close up. Overall I expect for tomorrow a
bullish tendency after some struggle in the European morning.
At this moment I just want to sit back and observe how it plays out. 1313 is my
most bullish target to be hit by August 11. If the market declines tomorrow, it
should rise on Friday. Friday is a likely day for a closing price high.
Rosecast July 28, 2008, Monday
Overall
I expect the correction that has started on July 23 to end today. There is a
very strong support area between 1244 and 1246 that should hold the low. 1250 is
the second support. To the upside I expect a target of 1259. A market below 1244
would concern me, but overall I am quite confident that my Timer Digest LONG
signal is still correct and that the market is heading into an August 8 high. On
this day the Olympic Games are scheduled to start.
Rosecast July 24, 2008,
Thursday
Yesterday the S&P 500 Cash Index has closed up by 5 points. I have originally
considered July 23 as a market low, but now the evidence is mounting that this
day will be a short term high....Overall
I consider the uptrend still solid and I will look in particular at the $XBD Brokerages Index, because I believe that this sector is
currently the key to the future development of the whole market. I see Friday
very likely to trade down. But next week things should be brighter again.
Rosecast
July 16, 2008, Wednesday
I have shifted the S&P 500 Investor Signal to Long as of the July 15 close
(confirmation of Timer Digest is pending).
It has been a very tough decision as my data indicates that a low could also
occur today on July 16. However if today closes lower than yesterday, this
should be the lowest close indeed....July
15/16 has really the potential to become an important low.
Rosecast
July 7, 2008, Monday
The Impending
Decline or Mini-Crash of July 2008
I have calculated the low of July 2008
to occur on July 14 on a closing price basis and on July 15 on an intraday
basis. On one of these days the S&P 500 Timer Digest Signal is likely (after
analysis of price levels and intraday data) to be changed to LONG again.
July 7 (Classic Subscription): Most of the positive factors will occur before
10h09, therefore I expect the high of day to occur before that time.
Rosecast
July 3, 2008, Friday
However with yesterdays
strong day down and with the S&P 500 closing at the lowest level for 2008, there
is a huge chance now that the March lows will also be broken on an intraday
basis. This could result in a lot of selling or a mini-crash, if not a real
crash. What makes me additionally bearish is
1) Most financial astrologers are long (since June 26, day of the Uranus station) and waiting for the market “to turn any day”, or even any moment…..waiting, waiting and waiting. I think they are in for a bitter awakening next week.
2) Two of the world’s best market timers have switched their signals to Long and Neutral over the last few days. Overall the best market timers are now neutral, but have been bearish before. From a contrarian standpoint this increases the chances for a crash.
3) While my own data is mixed right now, the market keeps declining and declining. This tells me that the bear trend is strong. However next week my data will be clearly bearish.
4) Technical (look at the charts) and fundamental factors (central banks are rising interest rates in a sluggish economy, of course they have no choice because of inflation pressures, rising Crude Oil and rising Euro).
All this means that the market is ready to crash next week.
Rosecast
June 16, 2008, Monday
I see today still as a positive or as an unchanged day. My indications clearly
show a down-day for tomorrow June 17. Most likely June 18 is down as well. My
intentions are therefore to shift the Investor Signal to Short on the close of
today.
Rosecast
May 30, 2008, Friday
I expect that the S&P 500 will close down today and that yesterdays high will not be surpassed. Even if the market can hold up today, on Monday the market should close down strongly. I expect the market to find a low on June 3 only and then rally for a week until June 10. This day is very likely an important high. This day is also indicated as the strongest turn for the year on the Rosecast Bradley, while the regular Bradley suggests a turn for June 7. The period between June 7 and 10 is an important potential trend change period for many markets including the currencies, Gold and Bonds.
Rosecast May 23, 2008, Friday morning, Thursday evening
I have shifted the
S&P 500 Investor Signal to Short as of todays (JUNE 22) close (1394.40 S&P 500,
up 3.6 from yesterday). I should have already done this on May 19. I have today
calculated additional data that clearly suggests that May 19 is the most
important high for a long time. June 9, if a high will likely be a lower high. I
see risk to the downside for either tomorrow or May 27 and then a rally until
May 29. May 29 is the next important shorting day, but it will not be higher
than May 19. June 2 is another low or day down. In my opinion it is best to
correct a mistake as soon as possible and that is why I have shifted the
signal to short today. My mistake has been that I have not recognized the
importance of May 19 earlier, although I had some indications for that - compare
my May 19 Classic update.
Rosecast May 19, 2008, Monday
Monday
(May 19) is the last strong day. Tuesday (May 20) will be
unchanged to down. The next low is on Tuesday, May 27 as Monday May 26 is closed
for Memorial Day. Then I see a rally into June 6/9 (weekend is on June 7/8).
This is also an important Bradley date. This could be very important high.
Rosecast May 16, 2008, Friday
Yesterday
the market has advanced once again strongly.
For the Timer Digest ranking I am glad that I have stayed on LONG. I have
learned also a valuable lesson about astrology. My preferred scenario looks now
more likely than ever before, that means I see a high for May
Rosecast
May 12, 2008, Monday
I think today could be a
strong day as forecasted. A high could occur between 12h00 and 15h30 and is not
likely to occur before. 13h10, 13h35, 14h22 and 15h21 are potential times for
this high to occur...
Rosecast
May 8, 2008, Thursday
Yesterday
the market has declined strongly. Therefore I have been very interested to find
out what has caused the high and what has caused the decline. I believe I have
found the reasons and if the reasons I have found are correct, then the
following should happen. The market should now come back again, although I have
some mixed indications for today. Tomorrow, Friday should be a medium to good
day for the market and Monday May 12 the market should rally strongly.
There is also a non-astrological reason for this forecasted rally. In most
financial newspaper you can read now that the debt crisis is over, Soros has
supposedly said it, Paulson is saying it (what else should he say)…so if you
believe the experts, the market can only rally from here. And since weekend
newspaper readers tend to believe the experts, there should be a lot of buy
orders coming in on Monday morning. The only questions is how long is this all
to last ? .....
Rosecast May 1, 2008, Thursday
I think
there is a good chance of a rising market today. If this occurs not during the
day, then the chances are good that the rise occurs after the close – in the
overnight hours.
If the time of 11h02/11h03 comes out as the high of day (if….), then the market
is vulnerable to a sell off thereafter - according to my theories which I have
talked about in the Rosecast free newsletters. This sell-off, should be in the
amount of 10 S&P points, it could also be more. Still my indications are that
the market will not sell off significantly before May 7.
I rather expect a rising market until then.
After yesterdays slight decline I still see the potential for further declines
today. However if today closes down, there is a good chance that tomorrow will
be a better day. There might be a dip on April 25 or April 28, but April 23 and
24 do not look bad at this moment. I will do a more profound analysis tomorrow.
Currently I see the trend continuing up (despite some potential problems today)
and I remain on a Timer Digest Long Signal.
Rosecast
April 22, 2008, Tuesday
After yesterdays slight decline I still see the potential for further declines
today. However if today closes down, there is a good chance that tomorrow will
be a better day. There might be a dip on April 25 or April 28, but April 23 and
24 do not look bad at this moment. I will do a more profound analysis tomorrow.
Currently I see the trend continuing up (despite some potential problems today)
and I remain on a Timer Digest Long Signal.
Rosecast
April 18, 2008, Friday
Yesterdays target of
1388 has been reached this morning, and I think there is even room for further
advances. Google’s numbers are very important because advertising on Google
reflects the state of the economy. While the housing sector and the Dollar are
big problems, the numbers suggest that other sectors of the economy are still
going strong, or not as weak as expected. This gives me hope that we will see a
rally until early May as my analysis from the stars is suggesting. There should
be a small bottom on April 25 or April 28 from which the market can rally again.
For today I see 1384.50 as strong support, 1387 is also support. Above 1390,
1396.75 becomes the next target.
There is a lot of talk about the influence of the media. But I think that the
stars are influencing the media and the general mood of the people more than
anything else. The media will write what the majority of people expect to hear.
Rosecast
April 15, 2008, Tuesday
I expect a strong opening for today. Then the market should gradually decline
until an extreme low is found. The best times for this low are 11h09, 12h24,
12h46 and 13h49. Most likely the low of day is to form between 12h14. It is hard
to say whether today will close up or down. I think there is still a bit of room
to the downside. 1322 is a target for futures.
I will shift the Investor Signal to LONG on the
close of today. Some
simple geometry I follow is suggesting that today is the extreme day. There are
of course other methods I monitor, but some of these methods are not exact to
the very day. From here I expect a rally until April 21 at least. The next major
high will be seen in early May.
Rosecast
April 14, 2008, Monday
Ideally the market will close down today. The market should make a new low
either today or tomorrow. For April 16 I expect already a strong day up.
I will shift the Investor Signal to LONG either today or tomorrow.
Rosecast April 4, 2008, Friday
I have strong indication that the market will decline today or on Monday. If the market
can hold up today, it will decline ONLY on Monday, but my indications are that
the next strong move is down.
Rosecast
April 3, 2008, Thursday
Yesterday the market has made a new high as forecasted. For today I forecast a declining day. Tomorrow Friday the market could be in better shape again. Yesterday has been a turn date in my analysis. The Bradley (or Rosecast Bradley) gives a turn date for April 5. I can imagine a declining market for today and a rising market for tomorrow, Friday. Eventually the market should decline into an April 15 low.
Rosecast March 18, 2008, Tuesday
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/BUSINESS/03/18/fed.creditcrisis.ap/index.html
Above I
have found an interesting article on the Fed and the decision it faces today. I
cannot judge how other people will react to the Fed’s action today. My own guess
is that the Fed will “only” cut by half or a quarter percentage point maximum,
because they have already taken measures (30 billion Bear Stearns backup) to
support the financial industry anyway. If they cut now by a whole point, it
would give the impression that the crisis is as BIG as the “average Joe” thinks
it is and the average Joe thinks it is really very, very bad – like the world is
coming to an end.
I think it is not so bad right now and there is room for a rally now, although
in the long term leading an expensive war, not publishing M3, and the US habit
of spending before you earn it, has to entail some bitter consequences for the
US Dollar.
From my astrological analysis, everything points to a higher (S&P 500) close
today and to a rally during the next days. I expect the next high around April 3
to 5, then a short term correction into mid April.
Rosecast
March 17, 2008, Monday
I have already said that
Monday would be a bad day. But there is a strong trend change from today to
tomorrow. With new lows already made I reckon with a volatile session, but in
the end the bulls should prevail.
If today closes down, I see the rest of the week closing up. But even if today
would close up (strong rally once the sessions opens), I would still see the
rally continue since the lowest low has already been made for today. For a trend
change I need either the “Lowest low” or a close down.
So the condition has already been satisfied. I estimate for today to become a
substantial low. In the worst case scenario today will close down strongly, and
tomorrow will be a lower low, but tomorrow (Feburary 18) should still close up.
Summary: Today should be a very important TURN day for many markets.
Rosecast March 11, 2008, Tuesday
As I have said in the last update, a rally is to start and the decline might
extend until March 10. I must also confess that my original forecast of a March
11 high has now inverted to a March 10 low. At the same time I have programmed
new features allowing me the application of the Trispect theory to Natal
horoscopes. I am now convinced that this is an important low and that we will
see a rally......
Rosecast March 5, 2008, Wednesday
It is hard for me to
make any particular forecast for today. The low yesterday has occurred at a very
sensitive time and thus qualifies for an important swing low. ....Overall I
think it is too early to go long the market for a longer term rally.
Rosecast
February 28, 2008, Thursday
I see good chances
for the market to decline today (February 28). Yesterday the high has been
strong. I am expecting a potential correction until March 5, but at least until
February 29.
Rosecast February 27, 2008, Wednesday
The analysis suggests a high today (February 27) or tomorrow morning and then a
correction into March 5.
Rosecast February 21, 2008, Thursday
I think
the market will make a high today (February 21) between 12h25 and 13h30 and then
decline strongly in the afternoon. Also the market will decline tomorrow and
make a short term bottom on Monday.
Rosecast February 19, 2008, Tuesday
After the low on
February 15, my forecast is bullish until a high on February 20 or 21. I expect
however some swings for today as there are also some negative factors present.
But my analysis has shown that these negative factors will be overpowered in the
end by the positive factors culminating in a February 20 to 21 high.
Rosecast February 14, 2008, Thursday
I am expecting a
sharp drop for tomorrow (February 14). Likely the market (futures) will make
their high before the opening. After 14h25 the market might rise again. I am
unsure about February 15. But there are some negative factors which have had me
focused on this day.
Rosecast February 7, 2008, Thursday
My indication is
overall for tomorrow (February 7) to be a positive day. Since today (February 6)
has traded down, the eclipse provides usually a trend change for one day.
Rosecast February 6, 2008, Wednesday
I have found some factors that have shifted the swing high to the February 1 close and February 4 high. Therefore I am sure that this swing high will not be surpassed and that the market is now trading towards a swing low.
Rosecast January
31, 2008, Thursday
Between yesterday
at 15h07 and 18h07 the market lost 54 points. Still my analysis indicates that
the uptrend is still present. The low at 1333 has been significant in my
analysis. Also a close down on Wednesday has been in accordance with the
analysis. I see today (Thursday) as a mixed day. Even if the market would close
down slightly today, I see a strong probability for a very strong February 1st.
Rosecast January 25, 2008, Friday
Time Stamp of Update: 6h23 am, ET (New
York)
For today I really see a mixed day. I have still some negative factors coming up
this weekend, so I would not be surprised, if today closes down.
It all depends on how the market trades around the indicated BUY and SELL times.
There is great danger of a sell off in the afternoon today.
Any such selling would provide a good opportunity to go long the market early
Monday morning. Next week should overall be a good week.
Rosecast January
23, 2008, Wednesday
Time Stamp of Update: 7h16 am, ET (New
York)
TRADE
OF DAY COMMENTARY
BUY 12h19: I expect a 20 to 30 points rally (or more) from the low of today.
Additionally, this time, if the low of day - could be an important swing low.
The actual swing low in the
SPX occurred at 12h45, only 21 minutes after the forecasted time.
Rosecast January 22, 2008, Tuesday
Time Stamp of Update: 8h53 am, ET (New
York)
Therefore my
next turning point is January 23. I expect the market to hit a swing low on
January 23 and then rally until February X.
If you are interested in X, please take a
subscription. Important swing dates, like X, are covered by the weekly
subscription, too. The weekly subscription is updated twice a week in times of
great volatility.
Rosecast January 18, 2008, Friday
Time Stamp of Update: 8h04 am, ET (New
York)
If the market closes up significantly today, I see the next high on January
22/21. This is clearly my preferred scenario. Otherwise (down close today) the
market might decline straight into January 23rd.
Rosecast January 9, 2008, Wednesday
Time Stamp of Update: 4h36 am, ET (New
York)
I am pretty sure that yesterday has been an important low and that the S&P 500
will rise today and tomorrow.
The price target is 1426.75 for tomorrow. 1420.25 could be reached today. I have
some indication that January 10 (after the close) is a high followed by a low on
January 15 or 16.
Rosecast December 20, 2007, Thursday
Time Stamp of Update: 7h18 am, ET (New
York)
No matter how today ends, I will
shift the Investor Signal to Long on today’s close as all factors point to a
strong rally until
December 31st
!
Rosecast December 17, 2007, Monday
Time Stamp of Update: 7h43 am, ET (New
York)
The swing low I am expecting will come on December 19 or December 20 only.
I see the market declining today again.
Rosecast December 11, 2007, Tuesday
Time Stamp of Update: 8h42 am, ET (New
York)
Rosecast November 27, 2007, Tuesday
I believe that
today will see a new low; my minimum target is 1400 - Index or Futures. Banks
and brokerages indices are likely to see an important low today. I see a strong
rally for November 28 and part of November 29. Also I see November 30 and
December 3 trading down. December 4 is probably down as well.....
Rosecast November 23, 2007, Friday
Today
the market closes at 13h00 New York. The trend remains down.
Monday is likely to be down big, in particular for NASDAQ listed stocks.
Rosecast November 21, 2007, Wednesday
My analysis indicates that the NASDAQ will lose big on
November 26. Overall November 27 will be a lower low than November 12 for the
NASDAQ.
Rosecast November 20, 2007, Tuesday
Summary: Any strength today should be used to short the S&P 500, NASDAQ or Dow
Jones. There is going to be an important low on November 27 among all sectors.
Rosecast November 19, 2007, Monday
In any case, my analysis states that the BIG low will come
NOT BEFORE November 27.....
Rosecast November 14, 2007,
Wednesday
Monday November 19
looks like a very volatile and big ranging day and I prefer the short side,
although the situation is not as clear as I would like it to be. However in my
scenario only a big day to the downside makes sense.
Rosecast November 9, 2007,
Friday
Overall November 8 will compete in my analysis with
November 12 for a short term low. I currently think that November 8 was the
lower low.
In both scenarios a rally should extend between November 13 and November 15.
The trend remains down…….and November 14/15 will be another shorting opportunity
on the way down.
Rosecast November 2, 2007,
Friday
Yesterday the
market had one of the biggest declines with insurance and bank/brokerages
leading the decline. The high is now in with October 31, 2007....Anyway, the
bigger picture remains unchanged.
I have even fine-tuned my analysis for next week, taking yesterday’s strong
decline into account.
The result of this analysis is that the
first three days of next week, look very vulnerable to a very BIG decline across
all sectors.
Monday should be another day with a big decline.
Today is actually the last day that I see this market holding up.
So today should be a mixed day and swing
traders should use this day to position themselves for the anticipated decline
during Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
Today’s ideal high target is 1520 (Futures or Index). I would not be concerned,
if Futures run a bit higher to 1523.75 or 1527.75 today. My minimum price target
for next week is 1490.50 Futures or Index (the low of October 24).
Another price target is 1480.50 or even 1460.50 Futures. This market looks very
weak.
Rosecast October 29, 2007,
Monday
I am expecting for
today (Monday ) a good day – at least until the high levels ...are reached...Tomorrow
Tuesday on the contrary looks like a bad day...I expect a significant sell-off.
Rosecast October 25, 2007,
Thursday
Yesterday the S&P
Index has exactly made the double bottom as forecasted. The Index low has been
1490.40 on Monday and 1489.60 yesterday morning. The Index has then almost
touched the important level of 1490.50 again in the afternoon - 1490.90 – and
after that “triple low” a huge rally has set in.
...Summary: October 24 has been the low of this week (Index at 1489.56) as
forecasted. The market is now trading
towards a high on Monday, October 29.
A potential price target for Monday is 1540.50.
Note that this price target could materialize in either the Cash Index or the
Futures.
Rosecast October 23, 2007, Tuesday
I am still thinking that we are trading
towards an October 24 Low....
In the most bullish case the market should make a double bottom at 1490.50
tomorrow, Wednesday, October 24.
Rosecast October 19, 2007,
Friday
The market is trading towards an October 24 low. 1521 Futures is the next price
target, 1491 Futures or Index is the
most likely target.
Today and particularly on Monday all stock markets will close down strongly.
Rosecast October 17, 2007, Wednesday
After a high tomorrow
(Thursday) or early Friday the market will decline into a Low on
October 24. The October 24 Low will be significantly lower than the lows of
yesterday.
Rosecast October 11, 2007, Wednesday
1586.50 (1) CR
(first forecasted selling level and
critical price level)
Rosecast October 10, 2007, Wednesday
A major high has to occur within the next three days (until
Friday). I prefer tomorrow as the day of
the high. This will be a major high with a strong decline following. This
decline will extend until the end of the month at least.
Rosecast October 9, 2007, Tuesday
The S&P has reached one my low targets of 1560.50 yesterday and this morning and
is now ready to climb again. I expect a target of 1586.50 by tomorrow. Wednesday
or Thursday will be the day of a very important long term high - stay tuned.
Rosecast October 8, 2007, Monday
Today there is an important square aspect between Jupiter and Uranus, that is
triggered by both the Sun and the Moon. I have previously thought that this
would be some kind of a low and I am still thinking along those lines. So maybe
the market will decline during the day to rally later again and tomorrow.
Overall an important 4 weeks (OR LONGER) top should form around Wednesday. My price target
(S&P 500 Futures)
for this top is 1586.50. Best bottoms today are 1560.50 and 1545.50 (S&P
500 Futures) .
On Thursday, October 11 S&P 500 Futures have made a high at 1586.75 (forecast
1586.50!!!). On October 19 S&P 500 Futures were trading at 1505, more than 80
points lower than that forecasted high.
On October 8 S&P 500 futures have made a bottom at 1559.75 (forecast 1560.50)
before rising 27 points to 1586.75.
Rosecast October 2, 2007,
Tuesday
The market (S&P 500) is on the way to an important October 10 or 11 high. From this day on
there will be a one month (OR LONGER) correction.
The market should make a short term bottom on early October 8. Then a very
strong 2 - 3 day - rally should follow.
Rosecast September 11, 2007, Tuesday
Overall the
market could be at a high here or at a low - yesterdays low could be another
important swing low. In any way I see the market strongly declining after
September 21 at the latest.
September 10 has
been a very important swing low.
Rosecast August 30, 2007, Thursday
Overall I think there will be a high on September 4, early in the US morning (the exact time will still be announced) and that the market will decline strongly on September 5 to form a low on September 6.
Rosecast August 27, 2007, Monday
I believe that there is a good chance that the market has reached a swing high on Friday or is reaching a swing high today. Therefore I would wait for technical indicators to turn. Such an indicator could be the 30 or 60 minute MACD signal turning to the sell side for the SPX index or/and Dow Jones Index. This sell signal could come already today or tomorrow depending on the condition of the market.
Rosecast August 20, 2007, Monday
August 16 has been a significant astrological turn, this I can say in hindsight.
August 16 is also a date indicated by the Rosecast Bradley (the modified Bradley
formula) that you find in the online subscriber area.
So there is a possibility that August 16 stays a longer term low.
For August I still see some difficult days ahead, although it is likely that
August 16 will stay the low of August.
After the low on
August 16 - my original forecast for a swing low has been August 20 - I have
been contemplating a rally for September "Still
the market could also rally from here particularly in September. "
I have however also
estimated an October low
"There is however some astrological trouble coming up in October .........and
therefore I will stay with my view that a bigger low will form in October"
This has been
clearly wrong in hindsight, since the time I have estimated for the October low
- October 15 - has almost turned into a market high.
Rosecast August 10, 2007, Friday
I will stay short with the Rosecast Investor Signal until August 20.
I expect the market to decline into August 17 or August 20.
Rosecast August 9, 2007, Thursday
I have shifted the Investor Signal to SHORT......(Close August 8)
This chart has been
inserted in hindsight to help you evaluate the forecast.

Rosecast March 28, 2007, Wednesday
Ideally a swing low will occur today (March 28) or tomorrow (March 29) before the opening.
Rosecast March 14 2007,
Wednesday
TODAY'S BUYING LEVELS
E-mini S&P
500 June: 1375.75, 1384
I am
glad that yesterday has brought the expected decline. I expect that decline to
continue today, but likely not as strong. Price-wise 1375 will make a good short
term target, this one should be reached at least for the S&P 500 Index (and
March Futures).
1375.75 has been the first forecasted low price for June futures on that
day, although the market has opened 20 points higher, this level has been
forecasted!
Rosecast March 9 2007,
Friday
Independent of price analysis, I am pretty sure that we have seen, or are seeing
a high. Monday, March 12 is the last day in time for a possible high range
(March 8 to March 12). So if I was wrong and the market would close up today, I
think it will make a high on Monday morning and then decline Monday afternoon,
once the Moon is past its conjunction to Pluto.
On Tuesday, March 13, the real decline should set in at the latest, if the
decline does not start after 11h00 am today.
Rosecast March 6 2007, Tuesday
In any way the Sun to Uranus conjunction is always good for a trend change, because Uranus is the planet that rules a change of trend. So Sun conjunct Uranus (March 5) could be interpreted as a day the trend changes. Yesterday the Venus Antiscia was also conjunct Uranus, Venus stands for money and finances.
On March 8, Venus will complete a Trispect to Jupiter and
Saturn. This Trispect will also be a grand trine. I expect the market to make a
top on this day and then continue to decline.
Rosecast February 28 2007, Wednesday
Yesterday’s big decline is not really surprising, if you consider that the
Saturn-Neptune opposition, I have mentioned yesterday, is a very rare aspect. In
hindsight I have seen why the low came out at 15h00 and not at 14h10, which was
my forecast.
Rosecast February 27 2007, Tuesday (day of biggest
decline since 911, September 17, 2001)
I
believe today has a pretty good chance of becoming a swing low.
I have identified with different methods a time of 14h10 for this low to occur.
Maybe we will see another low around 10h30 tomorrow (February 28) or earlier.
The Saturn to Neptune opposition will be exact at around 7h00 tomorrow morning.
This is generally a bad influence on the market and on other things too, if you
are in tune to that aspect.
......
Summary: Be short until 14h10, and then watch price levels to go long.
Rosecast February 21 2007, Wednesday
If there is a factor (that I am overlooking), then my analysis could invert and today would become a high. I will know only by tomorrow’s close. If tomorrow the 22nd, the market closes up again, I will shift the Investor Signal to LONG. Otherwise I will assume that today is a swing trading high, leading to a correction until February 28. On this day there is an opposition between Saturn and Neptune. This opposition is responsible for most of the negative news that you hear these days on CNN and elsewhere. It would make sense to me for the market to make a low around the time of the opposition.
Rosecast February 7 2007, Wednesday
My
ideal target until Thursday the 8 of FEB is 1467.75 for the E-Minis.
If I am right on track we should make it to 1459.50 or at least 1454.75 today.
I have increasing evidence that the high should come out already on February 8.
I could imagine a High on February 8, a down-day for February 9 and a small up-day
for February 12 (followed by the real decline).
So if targets are reached, February 8 (closing price) will be the best bet to go
short the market for a correction that is overdue, not only in the astrological
meaning of that word.
Rosecast January 29 2007, Monday
I
originally assumed a down day for today and a swing low for January 30. I would
say that this is still my best bet. However I do not see a lot of negative
influences for today. Also 1422.50 is good support for the E-mini. In the case
of a down-day, I would expect the high to come out during the first 30 minutes
of trading.
I expect a B I G high on February 8. So either today or tomorrow we should see a
low that will be followed by a rally.
Rosecast January 25 2007, Thursday
I
expect the highs yesterday to hold.
Maybe we will see a (new) high between 10h00 and 10h10 today. Yesterday and
today will be a swing high until a low on January 30 or 31st.
Then the market will go for a final rally until February 8/9.
Rosecast January 23, 2007, Tuesday
I
believe that there is a good chance of the market closing higher today.
1420.40 is still good support for the S&P 500 Index. I see however also a
potential low at 11h20, therefore I would feel more comfortable with going long
the market AFTER that time has passed.
On the bigger picture I see January 22 competing with January 26 or 25 for a
longer term low (longer term: until a high in early February).
Rosecast January 17, 2007, Tuesday
One reason for this day rather down is the upcoming square from Uranus to Jupiter and Venus in opposition to Saturn. Both of this will take place on January 22nd. So this day has the potential to be a short term low.
Rosecast January 16, 2007, Monday
I believe that the market should decline this week after a high today. 1444 (120 degree to heliocentric Jupiter) is the highest price I see for the market today.
Rosecast January 3, 2007, Wednesday
My outlook says that January 8, 2007 is the next most important swing point.
Rosecast December 22, 2006,
Friday
My original analysis
calls for a low on December 30 and then a rally. We might also find a low around
January 8 to 11, although this period might also come out as a high.
I will reveal more after the holidays. From a long term perspective, a real
stock market high can only be expected in the beginning of February.
Rosecast December 21, 2006,
Thursday
For December 21 I expect a
declining market as well.
My main level is 1421 in futures. This should be support.
This level could also become a high in the Index today or tomorrow.
Rosecast December 18, 2006, Monday
I expect at least a three day correction until December 21st.
Rosecast December 12, 2006, Tuesday
I believe that today is vulnerable to be
a down day. There should be a strong movement up or down between 14h00 and
16h00. If this movement is down, then it is likely that we will rise tomorrow (Wednesday
again). So at the close you would have to act contrarian.
Rosecast December 6, 2006, Wednesday
So
I expect now a small correction, just two days until December 7 and then a
continuation of the rally until the ALIGNMENT of December 15 is in.
I have posted this ALIGNMENT in the subscriber area of Rosecast. I will look
more for futures alignment of other markets in the days coming up. But the
alignment of December 15 will also be positive for GOLD.
Rosecast November 27, 2006, Tuesday
Having said all that,
I am pretty clear that we will see a very strong rally next week (December 4 to
8) and most likely the week thereafter (December between 11-15). This is the
even truer, if December 1 becomes some kind of a low. I will then verify this
Forecast with the AFTERCAST of December 1.
What I am not sure yet is whether the low will come on December 1 (this is my
favorite) or already before. I must say that already today could be a low that
will lead to a rally tomorrow and possibly Wednesday. ...
___________________________
Forecast: Today (Nov
27) very likely
down-day, but, if the low is significant, we might already see the start of the
December rally tomorrow. This could particularly be the case, if 1406.95 in the
INDEX is surpassed this week.
More likely we will se a low today, then a high on Tuesday or Wednesday,
followed by another low on Friday.
(The S&P Index declined strongly on November 27 and made a high at 1406.30 on November 30 before making another bottom on December 1.)
Rosecast November 22, 2006, Wednesday
I
calculate a high
for
today (best at 11h40!) and then a declining market until November 28, three
trading-days from now. November 24 is only a half-day because of the Thanksgiving holiday.
I am strongly convinced that the rally will move on until December 11 or even
December 15/18. Only then do I see a correction...
(C) 2007, www.rosecast.com, Rosecast Astro Services